Crypto prediction accuracy
Accuracy here means correct next-close direction on a walk-forward replay — not a promise of profit. We print the number we measured, including thin samples.
What a “hit” is
A hit is the right direction for the next close under the same rules used live. We do not score penny-perfect price prints. Analog-backed days require enough look-alike history and non-extreme RSI.
Why we refuse padded percentages
Marketing pages that claim “75%+ guaranteed” without a method are noise. Our coin pages show overall and analog-backed hit rates with coverage. If the sample is small, you see it.
How to use accuracy numbers
Compare coins before spending free-tier slots. Pair forecasts with risk limits. Journal outcomes in 54Trades so your edge is measured on your fills — not on a blog claim.
FAQ
Do you guarantee 75% accuracy?
No. Any high marketing number without a walk-forward definition is ignored here. Read the printed hit rate on the asset page.
Does accuracy equal profit?
No. Directional hits can still lose money if size and exits are wrong.