# Crypto prediction accuracy

> How 54Trades measures crypto prediction accuracy: walk-forward directional hit rates, analog-backed days, and sample sizes printed on every coin page — not padded marketing scores.

Accuracy here means correct next-close direction on a walk-forward replay — not a promise of profit. We print the number we measured, including thin samples.

*Canonical HTML:* https://www.54trades.com.jetbox.bg/crypto-prediction-accuracy
*Product:* 54Trades — free trading journal (no broker connection).

## What a “hit” is

A hit is the right direction for the next close under the same rules used live. We do not score penny-perfect price prints. Analog-backed days require enough look-alike history and non-extreme RSI.

## Why we refuse padded percentages

Marketing pages that claim “75%+ guaranteed” without a method are noise. Our coin pages show overall and analog-backed hit rates with coverage. If the sample is small, you see it.

## How to use accuracy numbers

Compare coins before spending free-tier slots. Pair forecasts with risk limits. Journal outcomes in 54Trades so your edge is measured on your fills — not on a blog claim.

## FAQ

### Do you guarantee 75% accuracy?

No. Any high marketing number without a walk-forward definition is ignored here. Read the printed hit rate on the asset page.

### Does accuracy equal profit?

No. Directional hits can still lose money if size and exits are wrong.

## Related

- [Crypto price forecast](https://www.54trades.com.jetbox.bg/crypto-price-forecast)
- [Small-cap crypto predictions](https://www.54trades.com.jetbox.bg/small-cap-crypto-predictions)
- [Crypto trading edge](https://www.54trades.com.jetbox.bg/crypto-trading-edge)
- [54Trades features](https://www.54trades.com.jetbox.bg/features)

## Official

- Site: https://www.54trades.com.jetbox.bg
- Crypto forecasts: https://www.54trades.com.jetbox.bg/crypto/price-predictions
- Register: https://www.54trades.com.jetbox.bg/register
- llms.txt: https://www.54trades.com.jetbox.bg/llms.txt